Top-Level Takeaways

• Markets have flipped from pricing near-certain Fed rate cuts to pricing zero cuts and a greater than 50% chance of hikes by year-end.
• The upcoming June FOMC meeting should include a healthy debate on the current inflation trend, including the potential secondary effects of the oil spike and tariffs.
• Beyond near-term rate moves, the bigger question is Warsh’s appetite for structural reform, which requires building consensus across the FOMC, markets, and Congress.

The Iran conflict has reshaped the narrative in interest rate markets. Since February 27, just before the United States and Israel launched joint strikes, front-end Treasury yields have climbed more than 60 basis points.

Back in February, worries over private credit and AI disruption dominated, fueling speculation of broader contagion to the U.S. economy. But March’s surge in oil prices triggered a global bond sell-off. The move in Treasury yields tracked a sharp repricing of Fed expectations: in late February, markets priced a 96% probability of cuts by the end of 2026, including a 78% chance of two or more cuts. By June 1, that had flipped to a 0% probability of any cut this year and a greater than 50% chance of one or more hikes.

This ultimately comes back to an inflation conversation. The oil spike could prove a temporary supply shock with no lasting impact on growth or inflation trends — provided the conflict resolves quickly and prices fall. The longer energy prices stay elevated, the more likely the effects spread beyond the pump. April’s PPI, for instance, showed an 8.1% jump in trucking freight rates. If that persists, firms will likely raise goods prices to protect margins.

The hawks have ready counterarguments. Higher oil prices aren’t yet captured in a trimmed measure, but they can eventually bleed into the middle 45% of components — as can the secondary effects of steel and aluminum tariffs across manufacturing. Another factor likely still fresh in hawkish memory: the trimmed-mean index lagged core PCE by nearly 2 percentage points in late 2021, just before the Fed had to drop the hammer with 525 basis points of hikes.

An end to the conflict, including a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, should bring sharp relief in oil prices and ease some — but not all — of these worries. Several Fed officials flagged lingering inflation concerns even before the first missile flew. There’s also the risk of repeated “one-off” shocks becoming entrenched in expectations, a far thornier problem for policymakers.

Visit ALM First to read more about the latest economic data and overall monthly market trends.

Jason Haley joined ALM First in 2008 and is the firm’s chief investment officer. He heads ALM First’s Investment Management Group (IMG), which is responsible for leading the investment process and investment theme development. Haley also oversees all capital markets activities, including portfolio management, trading, market research and commentary, and execution of hedging and funding strategies for the firm’s depository clients. He holds an MBA with a concentration in finance and a BBA with a concentration in marketing, both from The University of Mississippi.

Not an offer for investment advisory services. This content is provided for general educational information and market commentary purposes only.

The post Markets Flip From Pricing Cuts To 50% Chance Of Hikes appeared first on CreditUnions.com.

Homeownership is a key component of the American dream; it’s also part of the credit union dream. If a member holds a mortgage or home equity loan with the credit union, odds are they’ve got other products there as well. It’s one step closer to being their primary financial institution. Although not all credit unions offer mortgages, home loans of all kinds remain a notable driver of industry growth.

This week is all mortgages on CreditUnions.com. In the days to come, keep your eyes peeled for:

• Three ways credit union marketers at TAPCO Credit Union, Baton Rouge Telco FCU, and Visions FCU are making the most of growth in the home equity market. Read more in “3 Ways To Market For HELOC Success.”
• How a rethink of closing costs, rate relief, and employer partnerships helped 7 17 Credit Union build an affordable housing mortgage program that works. Read more in “Keep The Mortgage. Ditch The Fees.”
• Two takes from TAPCO Credit Union and Appalachian Community FCU on how the two cooperatives are looking to manufactured housing to bring affordable housing to younger borrowers, rural borrowers, low-income communities, and more. Read more in “Small House, Big Opportunity.”
• New insights into the industry’s mortgage performance as of the first quarter of 2026. Read more in “Mortgage Lending Is Back, But It Looks Different.”
• Plus, exclusive client content that digs into the nuanced mortgage opportunity taking shape around first-time buyers, shifting rate dynamics, and emerging risk signals. Read more in “Mortgage Lending Rebounds With New Borrowers And New Risks.”

Now it’s your turn. What’s driving mortgage growth for your credit union? Or, if you’re pulling back, why? We want to hear how your shop is approaching the home loan market. Drop us a line, and we might feature your story on CreditUnions.com.

The post Home Is Where The Heart (And More) Is appeared first on CreditUnions.com.

Manufactured homes are gaining ground as an option for affordable housing. Although prices have risen in recent years, so, too, has the quality of manufactured homes. Despite lingering stereotypes, some credit unions consider manufactured housing a solid fit for specific borrowers and markets.

“We’re in a rural area, and it’s a good niche product for us,” says Vicki Gobble, chief financial officer at Appalachian Community Federal Credit Union ($183.7M, Kingsport, TN), which has offered manufactured home loans for decades. “Not a lot of institutions in our area will do these. For a rural area, it’s an affordable housing product that helps our members get into a home they otherwise wouldn’t be able to.”

Partnerships with local manufactured home dealers have helped ACFCU gain a foothold in this space. Such relationships are key to the credit union’s success. Gobble says other lenders could pursue similar partnerships but question the value of such properties compared to traditional homes rather than the ability of borrowers to repay.

“I think it’s more of a perception of the collateral itself,” the CFO says.

Don’t stop here. Lower prices and better amenities are making pre-built homes an appealing option for credit unions looking to bolster their balance sheet and borrowers stymied by the affordable housing crisis. Read more in “Manufactured Homes Help Close The Housing Affordability Gap.”

Relationships And Realty

Appalachian Community does not advertise its manufactured home loan directly to members but works with manufacturers and local real estate companies to keep the pipeline flowing. In this way, it is similar to indirect lending.

For credit unions considering this space, Gobble says dealer relationships are key. The credit union must have a solid relationship with the dealer to ensure it’s providing the same level of service members would expect to receive at the credit union.

“It’s important to partner with a reputable company,” Gobble says. “Don’t just partner with an individual contractor.”

When it comes to making the loan, the credit union runs its manufactured home loans through the mortgage department rather than through the consumer side of the shop, and Gobble says they perform well thanks both to strong member relationships and rigorous underwriting. The credit union requires that borrowers own the land — a purchase can be added to the deal as a land/home package with the vendor — and that the home sit on a permanent foundation.

The CFO is confident that the persistent high price of stick-built homes means the opportunity in manufactured housing isn’t going away anytime soon.

“We’re not in an area where prices are going to drop,” she says. “This isn’t an area they’ve overbuilt.”

The key, she says, is to change consumers’ pre-existing perceptions of manufactured homes.

“Getting people to understand how it’s built will help them get past that hump of the perception of the value,” she says.

Balance Sheet Capacity

On the opposite end of the continent, TAPCO Credit Union ($719.3, Fircrest, WA) also makes manufactured home loans, but they constitute less than 10% of its overall portfolio says Jeremy Mandery, chief retail and lending officer.

According to Mandery, only a few applications come in per month, but when they do, TAPCO is ready.

“We want to support affordable housing, especially those homes that are less expensive than the median price in our area,” he says. “We’re trying to provide financing that’s reasonable, that makes sense, and that generates a return for our membership.”

The credit union hasn’t formed any partnerships with manufacturing companies, so prospective buyers won’t see TAPCO advertising on sales lots, but Mandery is quick to note that’s because it simply doesn’t have the space on the balance sheet to do so.

“We haven’t established any relationships with manufacturers at this point as we don’t have the balance sheet space needed for this type of commitment,” he says. “If you’re going to go to a manufacturer and be tied up, you want the ability to write whatever they’re going to bring you.”

The Washington-based cooperative provides purchase and home equity loans for manufactured homes, although it only runs purchases through the mortgage side of the shop. If a consumer already owns the property and is looking to tap into equity, the consumer underwriters handle it.

Pricing is also equivalent to rates for stick-built homes.

“We charge the same interest rate whether you have a $1.5 million stick-built home on the water or a $250,000 manufactured home on the smallest piece of property in the metro area,” Mandery says. “We try to be as inclusive in our lending practices as we can.”

To keep an eye on the market, Mandery monitors the space through loan sales and participations to gain a sense of average loan-to-values, property ages, strong markets, risk levels, and more. He also monitors loss rates and often caps LTV at 80% rather than the 90% or higher it might lend on a stick-built home. But when it comes to underwriting, it approaches the process no differently than it would any other house.

“We’re not in the business of foreclosing on properties, so we try to take a person-centric review from an underwriting criteria,” Mandery says. “Are they a good credit risk? Do we think we’ll get paid back? Does the property have anything to do with that? If we think it will work, we try to write the loan.”

Although TAPCO is still testing the waters of manufactured home lending, Mandery says there’s plenty of room to grow.

“I think it’s a growth space simply because the housing market in many locations is just unattainable for people under 35 and making less than $150,000 a year,” Mandery says. “There’s going to be dramatically more demand for it, which leads to an opportunity for credit unions like ours to be back in the first-time homebuyer space again, whereas today it’s just very difficult to be.”

Looking for gaps in your lending strategy? Manufactured home lending isn’t just a niche — it’s a lens into the markets underserved by traditional mortgage products. Peer+ helps credit unions uncover patterns in home lending performance, identify where members lack access, and benchmark approval rates against peers. Request a demo to see Peer+ in action.

The post Small House, Big Opportunity: 2 Takes On Manufactured Home Loans appeared first on CreditUnions.com.

Before joining Firelands Federal Credit Union ($554.6M, Bellevue, OH) as chief financial officer in 2023, Don Rositano built a career at the intersection of banking and membership-driven retail, shaping how he approaches value, pricing, and performance.

Before entering the credit union space, Rositano spent more than a decade with Sam’s Club, where he led finance for a $2.2 billion division. That environment, where members pay for access and expect clear value in return, mirrors the credit union model more than it might seem, he says — and reinforced a core belief he carries into his current role: get value right for members, and the financial results follow.

Personal And Professional Journey

What attracted you to the credit union industry?

Don Rositano: I am fortunate to have been the CFO of two different community-based banks and most recently was the senior finance manager of a $2.2 billion division of Sam’s Club out of Bentonville, AK.

I loved working for Sam’s, but Cleveland is my home. My family and kids are here, and we were ready to be closer to them. When the CFO opportunity at Firelands came up, I felt my banking and membership experience would dovetail nicely. At Sam’s, we understood members pay for the privilege to shop there; that’s our philosophy at the credit union, too.

What has surprised you about working in the credit union space?

DR: One of the biggest surprises is that profitability is not the focus, people are. In my prior position, I had to reforecast our profit and sales projections every week, and we needed to produce solutions if we were suffering a shortfall.

At Firelands, although we need profits to fund growth, serving our members is our priority goal, and we forecast to meet their needs. Our profitability is a by-product of those relationships. In the three years I’ve been here, our cumulative annual growth rate is 10.46% — without mergers or adding branches — and our ROA has jumped from 0.66% to 1.41% year-to-date.

The Credit Union Learning Curve

How would you compare the culture of credit unions to your previous industry?

DR: There are a lot of similarities between Sam’s Club and Firelands. Both companies are driven to provide ultimate value to their members and to curate product offerings to reduce confusion and maximize value. Many companies like to provide products and services that have all these bells and whistles when what most members want is a great product at a great price.

Did you have any misconceptions about credit unions when you joined?

DR: As a former banker, my viewpoint was limited by industry misconceptions. I felt credit unions were behind in innovation and technological sophistication. Credit unions were the institutions you went to for auto lending and Christmas Club accounts.

The longer I’ve been in this position, I realize how wrong I was. Credit unions can master the balance of national competition, service, and evolving technology while still taking care of and seeing the member as an individual instead of a number.

What challenges did you face transitioning into the credit union space?

DR: Credit union jargon. Calling deposits “shares” and interest “dividends” has taken me a while. I’ve also had to change my thinking about profitability and service. I’ve spent a lot of time on nonprofit boards, and I love this serving philosophy in our company.

Leadership And Strategy

How did your prior financial services experience shape your leadership approach at the credit union?

DR: At Walmart, there would always be times when other retailers were cheaper, and we understood that. We wanted to be the consistent price leader, not chase a short-term discount. At Firelands, we’ve been trying to position ourselves so members are better off overall with our products than anywhere else.

For example, in my first year, we increased our primary share rate well above the rest of our competitors. We were able to create some savings in one of our expense categories and instead of dropping those savings to our bottom line, we reinvested them in higher yields on members’ dividends.

What lessons or strategies from your career have proven most valuable in your credit union role?

DR: At Sam’s I learned the importance of viewing pricing specials as an investment versus a cost. The goal is to offer something well-priced and use this as a gateway to have them experience more of the club.

I’ve used that same mindset at the credit union, and we have offered aggressive CD rates for shorter terms of four to seven months. We’ve found we do not lose this money when the CD expires, and the higher rate inspires higher loyalty.

We also never have a special only for new money. That tells existing members they are not as important. We’re in it for the long term. Our mindset has resulted in gaining greater share of our existing members’ wallet.

In addition, we offer a well-priced money market account where our highest yield right now is 3%. Our money market accounts have grown 40% in 2024 and 30% in 2025. Our members want an excellent rate but also want liquidity and freedom to move their money.

As a bonus, I enjoy paying a lower rate versus CDs and appreciate the flexibility to adjust rates based on market ebbs and flows.

What aspects of leading a credit union required a completely new mindset or skillset for you?

DR: Sam’s is a destination club. When I left, it had around 600 clubs throughout the nation. It can afford to invest in the largest markets because members will come. When I worked in a club, we had members who would come from 60 miles away every month to stock up.

However, many credit union members need physical closeness of a local branch. Not that they necessarily use it, but they want the comfort of knowing it is there when they need it.  We are investigating ways to meet those needs while balancing the high costs of an extensive branch network.

Members-First Focus

How did you adapt to the members-first model? Are there parallels to your previous roles?

DR: I came from a member-focused organization. It bothers me when I see financial institutions focus more on profits than customers. For example, we have many banks around us that might offer a nice special CD rate, but they keep their basic rates below 1%. If a customer does not inquire, they will go from a 4% special down to a 0.15% CD rate as it rolls over. I find that unethical and anti-customer.

How have you helped improve member engagement or services?

DR: We are looking forward to making some adjustments to our checking accounts. Members want a payment mechanism at a low cost. We listened to what members are asking for, and we’ll be adding member send capabilities for both RTP and FedNow.

There’s fraud risk with these payment streams, and frankly, we need to be OK with some losses to offer these services. If we don’t, members will move to other financial institutions or fintechs that offer them. In the next few years, it is going to be a requirement as a financial institution to be in business. The writing is on the wall; I don’t want to be left behind.

Advice And Future Outlook

What advice do you have for someone considering an executive role in a credit union, especially if they’re coming from another industry?

DR: Be open to the process and understand it can be tough because we answer to members and not to shareholders. The most critical thing they need to understand is that we need to be member focused.

If you do what’s right for the members, they appreciate it and the business will grow. It’s satisfying hearing other bank employees say how wonderful we are and if they cannot do something, they refer the customer to us.

You also need to be active in the community. I’ve walked in parades; I’ve manned an inflatable slide at a community festival. If you have no desire to be part of the community, then maybe a credit union is not for you. We’ve assumed many leadership positions that community banks used to lead.

How might your prior experience help shape the future of your credit union’s strategy?

DR: I’ve been the main proponent of bringing in a data warehouse. I’ve seen the power of analytics and the ability to drive business through understanding our own membership base. A warehouse lets you see where you should focus your limited resources to help the most members, and that can drive your growth.

Harvard did a study a while back that showed the more options you offer a customer, the more confused they become about what to buy. And sometimes they purchase nothing.

I looked at our product line at Sam’s and noticed we had several products that were not profitable. We reduced our product line by more than 40%, saw a 1% to 2% reduction in sales over the next 12 months, but saw a 25% profit improvement. It also set up the division in the following years to increase sales faster than the rest of the market.

Personal Reflections

What’s been the most fulfilling part of working in the credit union space?

DR: I love our place in the community. Our CEO goes to different county fairs and makes sure each 4H participant gets a fair price for their entry. We’ve spent $75,000 on these fairs, but the smiles on the participants’ faces are priceless. We’re the champions of the underdog and pride ourselves in making sure no one is left behind.

If you could give yourself advice on your first day at a credit union, what would it be?

DR: Don’t get too anxious to perform. Learn the culture of the credit union and look for ways where you can enhance it. Enjoy the ride. It’s a rewarding experience.

This interview has been edited and condensed.

What can you learn from like-minded leaders? Don Rositano’s path from Sam’s Club to credit union CFO is a reminder that the best strategic instincts often come from unexpected places. Callahan Roundtables put credit union finance executives in the same room to share what’s working, pose hard questions, and learn from peers navigating the same challenges. Learn more and register.

The post Insights From The Outside: Don Rositano appeared first on CreditUnions.com.

I recently spent some time catching up on the latest industry insights here on CreditUnions.com, specifically regarding the strategic priorities guiding credit union executives as they continue through 2026 and beyond. It’s clear that while the specific technologies change, the fundamental question keeping credit union leaders up at night remains the same: How do we stay relevant in an increasingly crowded landscape?

That question is one I’ve spent the better part of my career answering. My perspective was shaped first from the inside as an industry sales executive, and over the past decade, as a co-founder and partner of Arriba Advisors. During my time on the vendor side, I realized my true calling lived beyond just managing tech and that my passion was advocating for the financial institutions that serve as the backbone of our economy. I saw firsthand how often credit unions were at a disadvantage.

Current industry analysis points toward two clear priorities for 2026: a growth mindset and a sharp tech focus. I couldn’t agree more. But after a decade of helping financial institutions negotiate more than 2,000 contracts, we’ve learned you can’t achieve one without mastering the other.

Growth Mindset Needs A Modern Engine

There is a major emphasis right now on organic growth through digital channels. This is the right move, but the fact is, a growth mindset is only as effective as the core that powers it.

If your growth mindset is being held back by a legacy core or a digital banking suite that feels like a relic of 2016, you’re fighting an uphill battle to not only attract new members but also retain current ones. Many executives believe they are too locked into their current situation or that a full core processing evaluation is too strenuous to undertake.

I won’t sugarcoat it: the evaluation process is strenuous. Identifying the right technology partner requires a deep dive into functional requirements, future scalability, and cultural alignment. However, it is also the only way to ensure your digital transformation creates a seamless member experience.

The process is crucial to identify a technology partner that can actually enable your specific strategic goals.

Tech Focus: The Hundred-Vendor Web

The second priority often discussed today is a refined focus on technology, specifically regarding fintech partnerships and AI enablement. The common challenge is determining where technology creates real value.

From my perspective, the challenge is also how you manage the complexity of those choices. Today, a credit union with less than $1 billion in assets often oversees between 100 and 300 different vendors. That’s an enormous portfolio of contracts, renewal dates, pricing structures, and performance obligations.

And, most of those vendors negotiate these agreements every day; your team does not. This is where the balance of power can quietly shift.

Now more than ever, vendor contract negotiation is about ensuring that when you commit to a technology partner, the terms of that relationship actually reflect your institution’s leverage, your goals, and your long-term interests. We know where vendors have room because we’ve sat on that side of the table.

Real value is only realized when the contract protects your interests, ensures service-level accountability, and provides an exit strategy that doesn’t feel like a ransom.

How Credit Unions Level The Playing Field

The current roadmap for credit unions demands the right technology, the right partners, and the right guidance. At Arriba Advisors, that’s precisely what we provide through partner-level engagement and a track record of more than 2,000 negotiated contracts representing millions in annual value.

The roadmap is in front of you. We’re here to help you execute it.

Tom Russell is a co-founder and partner at Arriba Advisors, a strategic advisory firm that helps credit unions optimize member experience and achieve sustainable growth. With deep industry expertise, Arriba Advisors guides financial institutions through technology assessments, vendor evaluations, contract and price negotiations, and much more Contact him at trussell@arribaadvisors.com.

The post Growth Is A Mindset, But Success Is In The Contract appeared first on CreditUnions.com.

First quarter data reflects an industry at a crossroads. Systemic risks are real, but many credit unions are meeting them from a position of genuine strength: solid margins, healthy capital, and deepening member relationships. Now, cooperatives must decide where to direct that strength.

The analyst team at Callahan & Associates has spent the past several weeks parsing the latest 5300 Call Report data and stress-testing 2025 results against an increasingly turbulent macroeconomic backdrop. Shifting interest rate expectations, persistent affordability headwinds, and ever-greater member expectations are quietly reshaping balance sheets across the industry.

This week, the Callahan Financial Performance Series cuts through the noise to focus on what matters most heading into 2026. In the days ahead, watch for expert coverage on:

• Reading The Macro Tea Leaves — Inflation, employment shifts, and rate movements are making headlines and changing how households view their finances and their financial relationships. Here’s what the latest economic signals suggest about member behavior in the months ahead. Read “Wages Are Growing. Wallets Are Not.”
• Margins Hold Strong — Despite an uncertain future rate environment, credit unions are posting strong earnings with capital positions to match. We break down what’s driving the outperformance, whether it’s built to last, and what it means for capital management and member investment. Read “Credit Unions Are Having A Margin Moment.”
• New Members Are Hard to Find — Credit unions are deepening relationships with existing members. That’s the good news. They’re also struggling to recruit first-time members in a world of social media noise and algorithm-driven banking. Where are credit unions making a real difference in members’ lives? And how can they use that to connect with younger would-be members? Read “Where Have All The Members Gone?”
• Need-To-Know Performance Highlights — Consumer expectations, technology adoption, and competitive pressure are converging fast. These five insights highlight where leaders are focusing now and what might come next. Read “5 Takeaways From Credit Union Performance Data.”

What trends are top of mind at your institution? Tell us how your credit union is navigating this environment, and we might feature your story on CreditUnions.com.

The post The Numbers Are Good. The Moment Is Hard. appeared first on CreditUnions.com.

Credit union balance sheets continue to tell a largely positive story, but member finances are under growing pressure. Stable employment has kept the worst outcomes at bay, yet higher prices for housing, transportation, and everyday necessities are steadily eroding purchasing power.

On paper, wage growth looks like a bright spot. In practice, inflation continues to absorb much of those gains, limiting real income growth and leaving many households with far less financial flexibility than headlines suggest.

WAGE GROWTH VS. INFLATION
FOR U.S. WORKERS | DATA AS OF 03.31.26
SOURCE: FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ATLANTA | BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS

• The divergence between wage growth and inflation highlights one of the most consequential macroeconomic trends for credit unions: real income pressure. Although nominal wages have risen, inflation absorbed much of those gains from 2022 to 2023, reducing purchasing power. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, inflation-adjusted wages and salaries for private industry workers have increased just 0.1% in the past 12 months. Despite a stable unemployment rate, the disparity between wages and inflation can negate many benefits of job security.
• With inflation cutting into wages, members turned to savings and credit to cover everyday expenses. Even as inflation has moderated, the cumulative erosion of real income has left household wallets thinner than headline wage figures imply. Credit card balances in the first quarter increased 2.6% annually, suggesting members are turning to credit for a financial cushion.
• From an asset quality perspective, compressed real wages heighten member vulnerability. Although credit card delinquency remained nearly unchanged at 2.03% from one year ago, its makeup is changing. The share of late-stage delinquency — defined as more than 60 days past due — has increased to 64.8% of total delinquent credit card dollars. That’s the highest reported by credit unions in more than 20 years. This signals a migration toward deeper delinquency, where financially strained members are less able to catch up once they miss payments.

Wage dynamics are only one piece of the picture. Housing affordability, energy costs, consumer confidence, and savings behavior are also shaping how members experience today’s economy and how those pressures show up on credit union balance sheets. Read more about that on the client portal.

When members know you care, they stay. The late-stage delinquency data in this article suggests households are running out of room. Gallup research shows emotionally engaged members are far more likely to trust their credit union as a financial partner when stress peaks. Callahan and Gallup equip credit unions to build that trust intentionally so members turn to you first when it matters most. Read more today.

The post Wages Are Growing. Wallets Are Not. appeared first on CreditUnions.com.

Credit unions wrapped the first quarter of 2026 from a position of balance sheet strength despite persistent uncertainty in the broader U.S. economy. Although margins have benefited from favorable rate dynamics, the most durable advantage might be capital itself.

Accumulated earnings and disciplined balance sheet management have pushed net worth and capital ratios to multi year highs — creating flexibility at a time when many households remain under financial pressure.

NET WORTH AND OTHER CAPITAL
FOR U.S. CREDIT UNIONS
SOURCE: CALLAHAN & ASSOCIATES

• Capital ratios are at five year highs, reinforcing credit unions’ ability to absorb volatility while maintaining confidence among regulators, members, and markets. Capital is doing its job as a stabilizer in an uncertain macro environment.
• Strong capital reflects earnings durability, not one‑time gains. Elevated margins and controlled expense growth have steadily flowed into net worth, strengthening the balance sheet quarter after quarter.
• Excess capital creates choice as well as urgency. Although it’s prudent to build a robust buffer, holding capital indefinitely carries opportunity cost. In a prolonged period of uncertainty, the strategic question shifts from preservation to purpose.
• Well‑capitalized credit unions can play offense, using capital to support pricing relief, reinvest in technology and service delivery, or expand access through new products and markets — all without compromising safety and soundness.

How do macro trends influence credit union performance? Interest rates, labor market shifts, inflation, and delinquency trends all influence credit union performance. A free 30-day Peer Suite Premium trial helps leaders benchmark results against national economic indicators like rates, unemployment, and delinquency trends to better interpret performance in broader economic context. Start your 30-day trial.

The post Credit Unions Are Having A Margin Moment appeared first on CreditUnions.com.

For years, credit union membership growth was one of the clearest signals of the movement’s strength. That momentum is beginning to shift.

Annual membership growth in the first quarter slowed to 1.81%; that’s one of the weakest levels in years. Some institutions even reported quarterly declines. Perhaps counterintuitively, though, this isn’t a story of disengagement. Consumers are still borrowing, saving, and opening accounts. What’s changed is how they build relationships.

Consumers are increasingly spreading their financial activity across multiple providers, making it harder for credit unions to capture primary relationships. At the same time, credit unions are pulling back from traditional acquisition channels like indirect auto lending, further reducing membership inflow.

Yet the industry is still growing. Loan and share growth remain relatively strong, thanks not to new members but deeper relationships with existing ones. As credit unions shift from growing headcount to fattening wallet share, they must focus on achieving PFI status as much as on attracting members in the first place.

MEMBER GROWTH VS. SHARE GROWTH VS. LOAN GROWTH
FOR U.S. CREDIT UNIONS | DATA AS OF 03.31.26
SOURCE: CALLAHAN & ASSOCIATES

• Membership growth in the first quarter of 2026 slowed to 1.81%, marking a steady decline from prior years.
• Loan growth has picked up after a sharp post-peak decline. It was 5.13% as of March 31, signaling steady borrowing demand.
• Share growth has normalized from elevated pandemic-era levels and has settled around 4.66%, reflecting a more typical deposit environment.
• Loans and shares are growing two to three times as fast as membership, indicating new members are no longer driving growth. Instead, the industry is shifting toward deeper relationships.

When members know you care, they stay. As financial relationships fragment across providers, the credit unions earning PFI status are building emotional trust as much as they’re competing on rates or products. Gallup research shows emotionally engaged members are 5.4 times more likely to stay and 2.5 times more likely to hold multiple products, exactly the depth of relationship credit unions need most right now. Learn more.

The post Where Have All The Members Gone? appeared first on CreditUnions.com.

Join Callahan & Associates, a leading provider in credit union performance measurement, for a live, datadriven look at 1Q26 industry performance, grounded in the latest call report insights and informed by the broader economic and operating environment.

Why Watch Trendwatch?

Trendwatch is built for leaders who want more than highlights. Our experts go beyond reporting the numbers to enable credit union leaders with meaningful context to understand what performance results signal about risk, resilience, and opportunity across the movement. The insights shared during this session are designed to support confident decision‑making and strengthen leadership conversations throughout the organization.

See The Full Story Behind 1Q26 Performance

Much of the data presented during Trendwatch is gathered from Callahan’s performance measurement tool, Peer Suite. Interested in seeing how industry performance compares to your credit union? A free 30-day trial of Peer Suite’s Premium gives you dashboards, custom peer groups, historical performance context, and institution-level HMDA to help you interpret results and support more informed decisions.

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<<Trendwatch 4Q25 |

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