Stocks were quiet yesterday, but the bond market fell under a surprise attack. The 30-year bond fell almost two full points, And the sell-off was not limited to the 30-year; it spread across the yield curve. The culprit? The German bond, which was once the bond market’s best friend.
Make Dwight A TRUSTED Part Of Your Day
Read more insights from Dwight Johnston on TrustCU.com or register for his Daily Dose e-newsletter to receive his blogs straight to your inbox.
Over the past few days, the German 10-year yield has doubled from 0.055% to 0.105%. Yesterday’s pop to 0.16% set off alarm bells in trading rooms, and interest rates tripled in Germany.
Yes, the yield only went from microscopic to barely-visible-with-the-naked-eye, but bond traders are easily spooked. Bond prices are higher this morning as the German 10-year note yield has retreated to 0.136%. After months of slavishly following the German 10-year bond lower in yield, U.S. bond traders finally shook off that obsession when the German yield went into the twilight zone. I hope yesterday wasn’t an omen that U.S. traders will start watching the German yield move on the upside.
Dwight Johnston is the chief economist of the California and Nevada Credit Union Leagues and president of Dwight Johnston Economics. He is the author of a popular commentary site and is a frequent speaker at credit union board planning sessions and industry conferences.
April 23, 2015
Daily Dose Of Industry Insights
Stay informed, inspired, and connected with the latest trends and best practices in the credit union industry by subscribing to the free CreditUnions.com newsletter.
Back To German Watch?
Stocks were quiet yesterday, but the bond market fell under a surprise attack. The 30-year bond fell almost two full points, And the sell-off was not limited to the 30-year; it spread across the yield curve. The culprit? The German bond, which was once the bond market’s best friend.
Make Dwight A TRUSTED Part Of Your Day
read moreRegister Now
Over the past few days, the German 10-year yield has doubled from 0.055% to 0.105%. Yesterday’s pop to 0.16% set off alarm bells in trading rooms, and interest rates tripled in Germany.
Yes, the yield only went from microscopic to barely-visible-with-the-naked-eye, but bond traders are easily spooked. Bond prices are higher this morning as the German 10-year note yield has retreated to 0.136%. After months of slavishly following the German 10-year bond lower in yield, U.S. bond traders finally shook off that obsession when the German yield went into the twilight zone. I hope yesterday wasn’t an omen that U.S. traders will start watching the German yield move on the upside.
Continue reading about stocks, jobless claims, and existing home sales.
Dwight Johnston is the chief economist of the California and Nevada Credit Union Leagues and president of Dwight Johnston Economics. He is the author of a popular commentary site and is a frequent speaker at credit union board planning sessions and industry conferences.
Daily Dose Of Industry Insights
Stay informed, inspired, and connected with the latest trends and best practices in the credit union industry by subscribing to the free CreditUnions.com newsletter.
Share this Post
Latest Articles
Credit Union Data Predicts Who Will Win Super Bowl 2026
140 Million Reasons To Lend
Rethinking Auto Lending And The Choices Facing Credit Union Leaders
Keep Reading
Related Posts
Financial Nihilism Is Real, But How Can Credit Unions Respond?
2026 Begins With Market Sentiment Similar To 2025
Preparing For 2026: Why The NCUA’s New Succession Planning Rule Elevates The Strategic Role Of Credit Union Boards
What Would A 10% Credit Card Rate Cap Mean For Credit Unions And Members?
Andrew LepczykThe Personal Loan Landscape Has Shifted
Aaron PassmanWill Ultra-Low Interest Rates Improve Housing Affordability?
Andrew LepczykView all posts in:
More on: